Our Work
Hawaiʻi’s path to net-negative emissions by 2045
Hawaiʻi Climate Action Pathways
Client
Hawaiʻi Department of Land and Natural Resources
Population
1,441,000
Schedule
2023-2025
The Problem
Hawaiʻi was the first US state to commit to net-negative emissions by 2045. To move from ambition to action, the state needed precise answers on what each climate measure would deliver, cost, and save.
The Problem
What will it take for Hawaiʻi to reach net-negative emissions by 2045?
20.3M
metric tons of greenhouse gas emissions statewide (2022)
50%
emissions reduction required below 2005 levels by 2030
The Solution
SSG quantified the emissions reduction potential, implementation costs, and savings of 36 climate measures, translating the state’s goals into specific, sector-by-sector pathways to implementation for each of Hawai’i’s islands.
SSG projected business-as-usual emissions, analyzed a carbon price rising to $150 per ton by 2045, and tested the pathway under alternate scenarios reflecting uncertainty in oil prices, renewable energy deployment, and EV adoption. Spatial analysis mapped rooftop solar potential and tree-planting suitability against low-income and disadvantaged communities, identifying where climate investments deliver the greatest equity benefits.
The Outcome
SSG’s analysis quantified:
36
climate measures assessed
$12.9B
carbon pricing revenue to fund climate action by 2045
$28.8B
savings from implementing climate measures*
*Reductions relative to a business-as-usual scenario.
Outcome
Key Takeaways
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