Bellingham Climate Action Research

Climate Mitigation Plan

Bellingham works toward emission reductions with a step-by-step climate action plan

Client

City of Bellingham

Population

92,289

Schedule

2022-2023

The Problem

The City of Bellingham’s ongoing and planned climate initiatives fall short of achieving the emissions reduction target they set in 2021.

The Problem

How can the City of Bellingham get on track with its emission reduction goals?

85%

target reduction in emissions over 2000 levels

116%

increase in emissions over 2000 levels in 2019

The Solution

To support Bellingham to meet its climate goals, SSG zeroed in on three key areas to reduce emissions: improving energy use in buildings, accelerating the shift to electric vehicles and sustainable transportation, and increasing local renewable energy production. Through workshops, focus groups with targeted communities, staff and technical working groups, industry interviews, and a community-wide survey, we ensured the recommended actions are achievable within Bellingham’s unique political, economic, and cultural context.

The final report serves as a practical playbook for climate action, outlining the partnerships, legal frameworks, staffing, and funding needed to bring the plan to life. If Bellingham implements the most ambitious actions, the community could save nearly $2 billion by 2050. On the other hand, inaction could cost up to $1.7 billion in cumulative damages from climate change, half of which could be avoided with bold action. Because marginalized communities are most impacted by climate impacts, ambitious climate actions also support more equitable outcomes, including energy cost savings particularly for the city’s significant population of renters and low-income households.

The Outcome

The research presented Bellingham with 7 key integrated actions to achieve their emissions reduction target. Implementing the actions will result in:

54%

reduction in building energy costs

$2.1B

cumulative savings

17k

person-years of local and regional employment

*between 2021 and 2050, as compared to a business-as-planned scenario

Outcome

Key Takeaways

There’s a high cost to inaction.

Using the social cost of carbon—which accounts for damages to health, agriculture, infrastructure, ecosystems, and more—the estimated cost of Bellingham’s cumulative emissions by 2050 could reach nearly $1.7 billion. However, by leveraging existing policies, the City could reduce those damages by over 40%, to $718 million. Taking the bold climate action identified in the low carbon scenario could lower that number even further to $572 million—or about $19 million per year—highlighting both the economic and social value of early, ambitious action.

The future of energy is distributed.

Distributed energy resources (DERs)—like rooftop solar, battery storage, and community-owned projects—offer Bellingham a powerful opportunity to increase energy resilience, reduce emissions, lower energy bills, and drive local economic growth. These technologies generate electricity close to where it’s used, easing pressure on the grid, lowering infrastructure costs, and providing backup during outages. SSG’s ScenaHourly analysis found that by installing 64 MW of rooftop solar and 8 MW of battery storage by 2030, the community can ensure it meets its emission reduction and renewable energy goals while saving $105 million between 2023 and 2050.

An inspired EV and E-Bike revolution.

Bellingham has ambitious goals to shift transportation modes from driving alone to transit, walking, and biking, including e-biking. One in five trips in Bellingham are for a distance of less than one mile, and most are under four miles. E-bikes, car sharing, and improved transit will help reduce the number of cars per household. Additionally, 7.200 new publicly accessible EV chargers by 2040 will support the transition to EVs. Switching to more sustainable transportation options will decrease vehicle fueling and maintenance costs, while also reducing car dependency and spending need for car purchases, saving Bellingham residents a total of $2.8 billion between 2023 and 2050. 

Contact Us

Have questions about our services or want to know more about how we can help you?